Rising salinity in Bangladesh’s coastal regions, increased heat stress, storm surges and flooding risks add to the already challenging baseline conditions of flooding and river erosion in the country. These changes, however, are not felt equally by all.
Climate change exacerbates the pre-existing inequalities of communities living in vulnerability. Communities relying on farming and already struggling with rising costs face income insecurity from erratic yields and prices. Ongoing struggles for fair wages and working conditions intensify with frequent heat waves and erratic rainfall. The impacts of the climate crisis thus occur within the long-standing dynamics wrought by the socioeconomic, historical and environmental inequities that play out within familiar power struggles.
A framework to measure resilience
Resilience of a community to climatic shocks is an important indicator of their vulnerability to climate change. Resilience captures a community’s capacity to recover from catastrophic occurrences and to adapt to changes over time. BRAC’s resilience framework breaks it down to four aspects: absorptive, anticipatory, adaptive and transformative capacities:
- Absorptive capacity broadly deals with the ability to manage shocks associated with climate change. In general, physical assets, social capital and financial support form part of one’s absorptive capacity.
- Anticipatory capacity comprises the ability to foresee and reduce climate-related shocks. It requires access to risk information and can be assessed through the level of awareness and understanding of possible risks. It is generally strengthened during non-emergency periods.
- Adaptive capacity is the ability of a system to respond appropriately to the anticipation of risks, to avoid or minimise impacts of shocks.
- Transformative capacity deals with structural issues such as gender discrimination. It is the capacity to make intentional change to stop or reduce the causes of risk, vulnerability, poverty and inequality, and ensure more equitable sharing of risk so it is not unfairly borne by people living in poverty or suffering from discrimination.
The first three capacities are well included in global conversations about adaptation, in the form of better predictive climate models, climate-resilient crops and other technological advances. The fourth capacity – transformative resilience – often gets overlooked. It is here where citizen participation, grassroots mobilisation and community strengthening play a key role.
We’re not all in the same boat, though
While resilience frameworks are helpful at a community level, structural issues put many groups at disproportionately higher risk than others in the same community. For example, mortality rates for women in disasters are higher than men. Women tend to have less ability to take quick and immediate measures for safety, such as running quickly or climbing a tree, due to clothing or social norms. Family members often attend to injured women after men. These structural issues feed into women’s absorptive capacity.
Women’s anticipatory capacity also gets affected by gender norms. Women tend to work inside, rather than outside the home, which increases their vulnerability through reduced access to risk information, including disaster warnings. Women have less access to information about climate change risks. Research conducted by BRAC Institute of Governance and Development (BIGD) in 2022 found that of the 33,554 women respondents surveyed across Bangladesh, 33% did not feel comfortable speaking about climate change.
Women’s relative lack of access to resources forms an important aspect of the disproportionate impact. These arise from a lack of access to paid employment and greater reliance on natural resources, which are associated with greater climate shocks and income volatility. Differential norms not only limit access to, but also authority over resources, as well as limiting involvement in decision-making processes.
Community support is integral in coping with disasters
BIGD’s ongoing research on poverty graduation programmes in Bangladesh shows that increasing women’s participation in decision-making strengthens their ability to respond to climate change. For example, in BRAC’s Ultra-Poor Graduation programme, participants meet regularly weekly with other participants. This improves response networks and enhances awareness and chances of receiving assistance during crises.